Master of Science in Finance Program at Chulalongkorn Business School combines theory and practice with the latest industry perspectives to deliver in-depth knowledge in extensive fields of finance. We prepare our graduates to be impactful leaders in financial industry worldwide.

Why
MSF Chula?

  • Classes are taught by world-renowned experts in financial field: A-list faculty, visiting professors from world class universities, and active professionals in finance and banking sector
  • Internationally recognized global learning
  • Breakthrough curriculum to accelerate career in finance
  • Opportunities to meet in persons with distinguished executives 
  • Flexible weekday or weekend schedules
  • Accredited by EPAS as well as Chulalongkorn Business School’s AACSB and EQUIS 
  • Broad portfolio of learning opportunities at partner universities around the world
“The program opens the door into the world of Finance, theoretically and practically. The funs and excitements will be waiting for you”
- Neramit Leewairoje (FX 1), Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank, Singapore

HIGHLIGHT

MSF Chula is the Master of Science in Finance program, operating under the umbrella of the Department of Banking and Finance, Chulalongkorn Business School, Chulalongkorn University.
Established in October 1996, we are the first master’s degree program in Thailand that focuses on financial discipline and still continues to be one of the nation’s finest programs.

MISSION
The mission of the program is to deliver frontier knowledge and skills through high quality academic and learning environment. We aim to encourage students to be innovative and take intellectual challenges in order to sharpen their understanding of financial issues. As well, we empower them to reach their true potential and excel as sustained leaders in the financial field.

Accreditations
In addition to AACSB and EQUIS accreditations granted to Chulalongkorn Business School that confirm our international-standard quality, Back in 2015, MSF Chula was the only master’s degree program in Thailand that has achieved the prestigious EPAS accreditation since February 17, 2015.

Together with EPAS, CBS has been accredited by EQUIS, which is an international program accreditation system developed by the European Foundation for Management Development (EFMD). There are currently merely 100+ institutions worldwide that has been awarded EQUIS accreditation, a very few of which are finance program.

EQUIS accreditation process involves an in-depth assessment of the Program through international benchmarking, considering an extensive range of factors that include the Program’s strategy; academic rigor; international focus; quality of the student body, faculty, alumni, as well as their career progression.

Chulalongkorn Business School and the program’s achievement of obtaining EQUIS accreditation reflects our commitment to continuous improvement and dedication to excellence in financial education. For more details regarding the accreditation of Chulalongkorn Business School, please refer to https://intl-accredit.acc.chula.ac.th

ADVISORY BOARD

The MSF Advisory Board comprises both renowned academics and prominent executives. The Board is an important link between the Program and the business community. It advices on our strategic objectives and provides important inputs that contributes to the Program’s strength and future development.
Professor Russell Wermers, Prof.
Professor of Finance and Director of the Center for Financial Policy

Smith School of Business, University of Maryland
Sakorn Suksriwong, Prof.
Chairman of Executive Committee

King's College International School Bangkok
Susheel Narula
Investment Advisor

Hunters Investment
Win Udomrachtavanich, Ph.D.
Chief Executive Officer

KTB Investment & Securities Co.,Ltd

EXECUTIVE COMMITTEES

MSF Program executive committees, appointed by Chulalongkorn Business School, oversee the Program policies and its effective operation.
Narapong Srivisal, Ph.D.
MSF Director
Assistant Professor of Finance
Anirut Pisedtasalasai, Ph.D.
MSF Associate Director
Associate Professor of Finance
Pornpitchaya Kuwalairat, Ph.D.
MSF Associate Director
Assistant Professor of Finance
Boonlert Jitmaneeroj
MSF Associate Director
Associate Professor of Finance
Tanakorn Likitapiwat, Ph.D.
MSF Associate Director
Assistant Professor of Finance
Jananya Sthienchoak, Ph.D.
MSF Committee and Secretary
Assistant Professor of Finance

FACULTY MEMBERS

MSF boasts an excellent faculty of leading scholars who earned their doctorate degrees from world-renowned universities and have wide-ranging expertise spanning all major areas of finance. Often working closely with leading professionals in financial field, our faculty members have strong connections with leaders in banking and financial industries.
Narapong Srivisal, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Anirut Pisedtasalasai, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Pornpitchaya Kuwalairat, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Tanakorn Likitapiwat, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Tanawit Sae-Sue, Ph.D.
Doctor
Ruttachai Seelajaroen, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Jananya Sthienchoak, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Prapaporn Kiattikulwattana, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Thanyaluk Vichitsarawong, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Boonlert Jitmaneeroj, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Kanis Saengchote, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Kanyarat Sanoran, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Manapol Ekkayokkaya, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Nathridee Suppakitjarak, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Pornanong Budsaratragoon, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Roongkiat Ratanabanchuen, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Sira Suchintabandid, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Suparatana Tanthanongsakkun, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Thaisiri Watewai, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Thitithep Sitthiyot, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Vimut Vanitcharearnthum, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Visarut Sribunnak, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Natchanont Komutputipong, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor

SUPPORTING STAFF

Alisa Khuarunyasunthon
General Administrator
Chanthima Boonthueng
General Administrator

VISITING PROFESSORS

Jürgen Huber, Prof.
Head of the Department of Banking and Finance

University of Innsbruck Austria
Russell Wermers
Professor of Finance and Director of the Center for Financial Policy

Smith School of Business, University of Maryland 
Steen Thomsen, Prof.
Professor of Enterprise, Foundations at the Center for Corporate Governance (CCG)

Copenhagen Business Sochool, Denmark
Nuttawat Visaltanachoti, Prof.
Dean's Chair in Finance

School of Economics and Finance, Massey University, New Zealand

Bruno R. Gerard DNB Chair Professor in Asset Management, Norwegian School of Management, Norway | Christian C.P. Wolff Professor of Finance, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg | Deborah Lucas Director of the MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy, MIT Sloan School of Management, USA | Evangelos Vagenas-Nanos Senior Lecturer in Accounting and Finance, University of Glasgow, Scotland | Hendrik Bessembinder Professor of Finance, Arizona State University, USA | Keng Yu-Ho Professor of Finance, National Taiwan University, Taiwan | Marc Paolella Professor of Empirical Finance, University of Zurich, Switzerland | Meir Statman Glenn Klimek Professor of Finance, Santa Clara University, USA | Michael J. Aitken Professor of Finance, Macquarie University, Australia | Morten Bennedsen Professor of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Denmark | Paul Embrechts Professor of Mathematics, ETH Zurich, Switzerland | Roger King Professor of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Techonology (HKUST) | Shawn Cole Professor of Finance, Harvard Business School, USA | Söhnke M. Bartram Professor of Finance, University of Warwick, England | Tony Kang Professor of Accounting, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA | Vidhan Goyal Chair Professor of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Techonology (HKUST) | Donald R. Chambers Professor of Finance, Lafayette College, USA

ADJUNCT and CORPORATE CONNECTIONS

Sunti Tirapat Associate Professor of Finance, National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) | Kridsda Nimmanunta Director of Professional MBA/MSc in Finanical Investment and Risk Management, National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) | Nattawut Jenwittayaroje Director of the MSc in Financial Investment and Risk Management (MSc in FIRM) program, National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) | Chonladet Khemarattana Chief Executive Officer, Fintech (Thailand) Co., Ltd. | Chatsularng Karnchanasai, The Bank of Thailand | Chattrin Laksanabunsong Head of 10X Project, Siam Commercial Bank | Kobsidthi Silpachai Head of Capital Markets Research, Kasikorn Bank | Kris Panijpan Managing Partner/Co-Founder, 9 Basil Co., Ltd. | Paritat Lerngutai Chief Financial Officer, Sri U-Thong Limited | Pasu Liptapanlop Director, Proud Real Estate Plc. | Pisit Jeungpraditphan Audit Committee Director & Independent Director, Mudman Public Company Limited | Ponladesh Poomimars, The Bank of Thailand | Sirinattha Techasiriwan | Somjin Sornpaisarn Chief Executive Officer, TMB Asset Management | Sopon Asawanuchit Managing Partner, Confidante Capital Co.,Ltd. | Sornchai Suneta First Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Wealth Segment, Siam Commercial Bank | Waraporn Prapasirikul Partner, Ernst & Young Office Limited | Yunyong Thaicharoen First Executive Vice President, Economic Intelligence Center, Siam Commercial Bank | Yuttapon Wittayapanitchagorn Executive Vice President, Fixed Income Investment Group, Investment Division SCB Securities Company Limited

Alumni

2023
FX 17
Chanon Rungruanglit
To what extent can the yield curve spread serve as a tool for market timing in the Thailand stock market?
Despite its simplicity, the yield curve is one of the best predictors of future economic activity. Empirical studies suggest that the yield curve is capable of forecasting market downturn in major economies. In this paper, the relationship between the yield curve and stock market downturn will be studied with the focus on predicting market downturn in Thailand. Also, this paper seeks to answer the question if a market-timing strategy, based on yield-curve information, can outperform the market.
The results of this study suggest that the spread between government bond indices with maturities of 3 to 7 years and 7 to 10 year, to 10 years and over 10 years and the widely-used 2-10 year spread are statistically significant in generating positive alpha and gamma values, confirming their effectiveness in market timing and their utility in enhancing investment strategies by predicting future market downturns.
2023
FT 27
Jiratchaya Thamhaisuk
Impact of Morningstar Sustainability Rating on Mutual Fund Flow: Evidence from Thailand
This study investigates the impact of Morningstar Sustainability Ratings on Thai mutual fund flows, focusing on three aspects: the impact of the ratings' introduction, the differential effects of varying ESG ratings, and the influence of ESG ratings during the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis encompasses various methodological approaches, including event studies, propensity score matching, cross-sectional, and panel regression analyses, to provide comprehensive insights into investor behavior to Morningstar Sustainability Ratings.

Globally, sustainability ratings have a significant impact on mutual fund flows. This study finds that there is a strong initial impact following the publication of the Morningstar Sustainability Ratings, particularly for high ESG-rated funds, which attract substantial fund flows. However, this effect wanes over time. Additionally, the influence of sustainability ratings on Thai mutual fund flows during the COVID-19 pandemic suggests a "flight to quality," with investors prioritizing high sustainability rating funds over performance of funds.
2023
FX 17
Jirayu Chupanich
Predicting market risk premium
The purpose of this study is to address the financial challenge of predicting market risk premiums and to determine which factors and models are most effective. This research employs three methodologies: single regression, combined regression, and a time-series model. The study focuses on the accuracy of prediction models in four different countries: India, Thailand, Korea, and Taiwan, over the period from January 2009 to December 2023.
The findings of this study demonstrate that certain factors in the single predictive model can outperform the historical MRP in these four countries, providing significant evidence for the emerging market, as this result aligns with previous studies. The study reveals that the AR (4) model outperforms both single and combined regression models in most countries, offering more accurate short-term forecasts of MRP. This result is consistent with prior research suggesting that simpler time-series models can be more effective for short-term predictions.
The study's novel approach, focusing on emerging Asian markets, contributes to the existing literature by highlighting the unique dynamics in these regions compared to developed markets. The insights provided are valuable for investors and policymakers in emerging markets, offering a more nuanced understanding of MRP predictability and aiding in more informed investment decisions. When comparing the combined regression model to the single regression model, the results generally support the hypothesis that the combined model outperforms individual factor predictions in single regression models.
2023
FX 17
Krisana Rathanit
Impact of Fund Manager Characteristics on Thailand Domestic Equity Mutual Fund Performance
This paper aims to reconsider whether mutual funds managers’ characteristics, including gender, working experience (tenure), and CFA designation, affect the fund risk-adjusted performance, using the Thai open-ended domestic equity funds from 2018 to 2023. The first objective is to examine whether each fund manager characteristic impacts the fund risk-adjusted performance (alpha), including Jensen’s, 3-factor Fama French, and 5-factor Fama French alpha, using the pooled ordinary least square (OLS) regression. The alphas are estimated over the 24-month rolling window. The second objective of the study, as the extension of the first objective, is to examine the fund performance persistence over the next 12 months and 24 months following the initial ranking period for each fund manager's characteristic, including male, female, longer working experience, shorter working experience, CFA charter holder designation, and non-CFA charterholder designation manager’s fund.
I determined that however, on average, fund managers tend to generate negative alphas for their investors, there is a significant positive relationship between female, less experienced, and/or CFA-designated fund managers and risk-adjusted performance, which supports the behavioral finance as the overconfidence and too risky managed portfolio of male fund managers, the survivorship in the mutual fund industry for the less experienced fund manager which needs to work harder than more experienced fund manager, and more knowledge in the investment management industry to obtain the CFA designation. Regarding the fund performance persistence, the 12-month performance persistence mainly occurs in most characteristics, except the female manager’s fund. For 24-month performance persistence, the persistence more explicitly exists in males, with longer working experience, and/or non-CFA designated manager’s fund.
2023
FT 26
Manasnant Tejahwandee
Underpricing & Overpricing of stocks following extreme returns: evidence of Thailand
This study investigates how investors in Thailand's stock market react to extreme losses and gains, focusing on underpricing and overpricing phenomena. The objective is to analyze these market behaviors and trading strategies comprehensively. We employ statistical methods, including the Carhart four-factor model, to assess risk-adjusted performance and explore the effects of capital gains overhang and investor sentiment on stock returns. Our methodology involves forming quintile portfolios based on extreme loss and gain returns, using Winsorizing to handle outliers. We analyze both raw and cumulative returns, comparing stocks with the highest and lowest extreme returns. Additionally, we examine the influence of capital gains overhang and the impact of investor sentiment, measured through overnight returns on subsequent stock performance.
The findings reveal that high-loss stocks tend to rebound, supporting the underpricing phenomena, while high-gain stocks often continue to perform well, challenging the overpricing phenomena. The study shows that underpricing is negatively related to capital gains overhang, and investor sentiment significantly affects stock returns following extreme price movements. These results provide valuable insights into market dynamics, offering practical implications for investors, policymakers, and researchers in understanding and navigating Thailand's stock market.
2023
FT 27
Min Thiha
Corruption and Informal Economies in Asia
This thesis explores the relationship between corruption, the shadow economy, and institutional quality in 39 Asian countries from 2001 to 2021, using 819 observations and fixed effect models. The results indicate that corruption significantly enlarges the shadow economy, supporting the notion that corruption can facilitate business operations in heavily regulated environments. Conversely, higher economic freedom and democratic governance are linked to smaller shadow economies, underscoring the importance of transparent and accountable institutions. Additionally, higher tax burdens and rapid GDP growth are associated with larger informal sectors, while increased FDI inflows and population growth tend to reduce the shadow economy. Trade openness correlates positively with the shadow economy, suggesting that more open economies may see more informal activities. Interaction effects reveal that economic freedom's impact on reducing the shadow economy is less effective in highly corrupt environments, whereas democratic governance can mitigate corruption's adverse effects. These findings highlight the need for comprehensive policies that address corruption, enhance economic freedom, and strengthen democratic institutions to curb the shadow economy and promote sustainable development in Asia.
2023
FT 27
Minthra Srimanchanda
The Influence of Interest Rates on Small and Medium Enterprises in Thailand
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are crucial to economic development, significantly contributing to employment and economic activities in Thailand. However, despite their importance, SMEs often face financial challenges that can hinder their operations and growth prospects. This research investigates the determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) of SMEs in Thailand, with a particular focus on the impact of interest rates and other macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rates. The study employs three Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) models to analyze the relationship between these variables and NPLs. The findings reveal that higher GDP growth significantly reduces NPLs, suggesting that economic expansion provides a conducive environment for SMEs to thrive and meet their financial obligations. Conversely, higher unemployment rates are found to increase NPLs, which aligns with Keynesian economic theory and empirical studies indicating that economic downturns and higher unemployment lead to increased financial distress among businesses. However, variables such as inflation rates and interest rates, including the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), did not show significant direct effects on NPLs. Additionally, business sentiment showed a complex relationship with NPLs, suggesting potential over-optimism in economic cycles. The research underscores the importance of fostering economic growth and reducing unemployment to manage NPLs effectively.
2023
FX 17
Natasha Thatchaichawalit
Oil Price Volatility and Bond Credit Spread: Evidence from Thailand
This paper studies the relationship between oil price volatility and corporate bond credit spread. The sample is selected from bonds offered by listed companies in energy and utility sector (categorized by the Thai Bond Market Association) whose profit directly relates to the oil price movement. The studied period is 10 years which covers January 2013 – December 2023. The period covers both upturn and downturn of oil price movement. For the oil price volatility proxy, this paper uses end of month data of OVX index and conditional variance of Brent return estimated with GARCH (1,1) model. After controlling for other factors and testing for the suitable model and estimator, the fitted model was run with fixed effect estimator. The fixed effect occurs in the model is from bond series. The results from both oil price volatility measurements show that oil price volatility significantly influences corporate bond credit spread. However, the influences of credit rating and time-to-maturity on the relationship between oil price volatility and corporate bond credit spread could not be clearly concluded. The directions of the relationship are the same for both oil price volatility measurements. The longer time-to-maturity and the worse credit rating enhance the impact of oil price volatility on the credit spread. The relationships are significant with OVX index as oil price volatility measurement, but they are not significant with conditional variance of Brent return as oil price volatility measurement.
2023
FT 26
Panida Uaariyapoonpong
Impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance on Cost of Equity: Evidence from Asia Pacific Markets
This study examines the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance, proxied by the ESG Combined Score, on the cost of equity (COE), measured by the CAPM, for companies in the Asia-Pacific region from 2015 to 2022. It also explores how this relationship is influenced by economic crises and market development levels. The findings indicate a negative correlation, where higher ESG performance leads to a lower COE. Specifically, the environmental and governance pillars are negatively associated with COE, similarly reducing equity costs, while the social pillar shows no significant effect. The research also studies the impact of economic conditions and market development on the ESG and COE relationship. During economic downturns, such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the effect of ESG on COE is stronger. Additionally, the study finds no significant difference in the impact of ESG on COE between developed and emerging markets, which can be attributed to the globalization-driven convergence of average COE between these markets. As globalization enhances market interconnectedness, shifts in one market can rapidly influence others, leading to a unified response in COE adjustments across both developed and emerging markets. Moreover, the research delves deeper and reveals that the impact of ESG on COE is greater for firms with higher COE.
2023
FT 27
Patipan Piyakulmala
How Avoiding Positions during Macroeconomic News Announcement Periods Enhances Gold Trading Strategies
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic news announcements on trading performance and evaluates the efficacy of avoiding trades during these periods. The study employs three trading strategies: Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Momentum, analyzing their performance across eight major news events: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the US and China, ISM Manufacturing Index (ISM), Industrial Production (IP) for the US and China, German IFO Business Climate, and EU Interest Rates. Utilizing a multifactor regression model, we assess the return performance of trades avoided during news announcements, incorporating control variables such as business cycle phases (upturn), investor sentiment, economic uncertainty, and previous accuracy. Our findings indicate that the impact of news varies across different strategies and market conditions. Significant negative coefficients were found for high-impact news events like NFP, IP, and ISM, suggesting underperformance when trades are avoided during these periods. Conversely, certain news events showed positive impacts, highlighting potential missed opportunities. Additionally, the study examines the role of investor sentiment, economic uncertainty, and past trading accuracy in influencing performance. The results reveal that while sentiment and uncertainty exhibit mixed significance, their overall impact is crucial in shaping trading outcomes. Specifically, high uncertainty can sometimes enhance performance, though this relationship is inconsistent. Our analysis supports the hypothesis that avoiding trades during high-impact news events generally leads to lower returns, emphasizing the importance of strategic trading decisions in the presence of significant market news. This research contributes to the understanding of news impact on trading strategies, offering valuable insights for traders and financial analysts in optimizing their trading approaches.
2023
FT 27
Pichayapong Srisawad
Investor Sentiment Influence on the Preference for Lottery-Like Stocks among Thai Mutual Fund
This research investigates the preferences of Thai mutual funds for lottery-like stocks, characterized by stock skewness. Given that market sentiment fluctuates over time, the study also explores how the preferences of Thai mutual funds for lottery-like stocks vary with market sentiment. The research aims to understand if holding these stocks can generate significant excess returns and to evaluate the impact of fund size and age on these investment preferences during different market sentiment periods. By analyzing data from the first quarter of 2020 to the third quarter of 2023, this study provides a comprehensive view of the strategic decisions made by Thai mutual funds in response to changing market conditions.

The analysis reveals that Thai mutual funds generally avoid lottery-like stocks characterized by high skewness. However, this research finds during periods of low sentiment, small funds and more experienced funds show reduced aversion to these stocks, suggesting a strategic flexibility. Despite this shift, significant excess returns are not achieved, indicating that the strategic adjustments made by small funds and more experienced funds during periods of low sentiment do not influence on substantial financial gains.
2023
FX 17
Pitchaya Thuwanaka
Board’s Gender Diversity and Educational Backgrounds as Determinants of Cost of Debt: Managerial Hierarchy Perspectives in Thai Financial Landscape
This study investigates the impact of board gender diversity, financial background, and educational diversity on the cost of debt for Thai listed companies, focusing on the SET50 firms from 2015-2016 and 2021-2022. Utilizing data from Refinitiv DataStream, SETSMART, and annual reports, this research examines whether the presence of women on boards, financial expertise, and diverse educational backgrounds influence borrowing costs. The findings reveal that female board members do not significantly impact the cost of debt, challenging common assumptions about gender diversity's financial benefits. In contrast, boards with directors possessing financial backgrounds, particularly those in chairman and executive management positions, are associated with higher borrowing costs. This suggests that overconfidence and risk-taking behavior among financially experienced executives in these influential roles elevate perceived risks. Educational diversity also does not significantly affect debt costs, indicating that other factors such as work experience and organizational culture may play more crucial roles. These insights highlight the complexity of board composition's influence on financial outcomes and underscore the importance of balanced governance practices in mitigating risks associated with financial expertise, especially among top-tier executives.
2023
FX 17
Raksit Lomtakul
The Moderating Role of Asset Tangibility, Economic Policy Uncertainty, and Control of Corruption on the impact of Public Debt on Cost of debt and Investment
This research aims to explore two main objectives: first, to investigate the impact of public debt on corporate borrowing costs and investment activities; and second, to examine how moderating factors like Asset Tangibility (TAN), the World Uncertainty Index (WUI), and Control of Corruption (CC) shape this relationship. The findings reveal that higher public debt levels significantly increase corporate borrowing costs and reduce investment activities, underscoring the need for policymakers to adopt prudent fiscal strategies that balance debt management with fostering a supportive environment for private sector investment.
Furthermore, the study highlights the moderating effects of Asset Tangibility, WUI, and Control of Corruption. Asset Tangibility helps firms secure loans more easily and at lower costs even amid high public debt levels, suggesting policies promoting asset investment can buffer the negative effects of public debt. Effective control of corruption reduces financial risks and mitigates the financial burden imposed by public debt on corporations, emphasizing the importance of anti-corruption measures. High levels of economic policy uncertainty, as measured by the WUI, discourage investment, indicating the need for clear and stable economic policies to enhance investment even in the face of high public debt. These insights emphasize the importance of good governance, asset investment, and stability in economic policies to support sustainable growth and development.
2023
FX 17
Ramita Raksakunpanich
Determinants of Asset Growth Premium: Evidence from Thailand
This study investigates the asset growth anomaly in the Thai stock market, examining whether new factor constructed from decomposed asset components offers superior explanatory power for stock returns compared to the original aggregate asset growth factor. The research analyzes key components of total assets, including both sides of the balance sheet covering investing and financing activities. Our findings reveal that all the new factors constructing based on each component of asset is spanned by all the Fama-French factor. The overall explanatory power of total asset growth is superior. This suggests that total asset growth is the best predictor of investment performance in the Thai market.
2023
FT 27
Sirawit Triyasuk
National Elections and Volatility of stock returns, case study of Thailand
This study explores how electoral factors, including final week surprises, political donations, pre-election polls, election results, and prime minister vote outcomes, affect the volatility of stocks return which are listed on the Thai Stock Exchange. Employing regression models, it assesses how these elements impact market fluctuations, revealing that unexpected events and significant political contributions during election weeks crucially affect market stability differently. The findings indicate that pre-election polls and political donations significantly contribute to increased market volatility. This suggests that during election periods, heightened political activity and financial contributions can lead to greater uncertainty in financial markets, providing key insights for investors, financial analysts, and policymakers. By understanding these dynamics, stakeholders can better anticipate market responses during elections and strategize to mitigate associated risks, emphasizing the importance of navigating the complexities of financial markets amidst political uncertainties. This research underlines the intricate relationship between democratic processes and market behavior, stressing the need for informed decision making in politically sensitive periods.
2023
FX 17
Suparat Kongsompot
The Impact of Financial Advisor Reputation on IPO Underpricing :Evidence from Thailand
This study explores the role of financial advisors (FAs) in the initial public offering (IPO) process, particularly focusing on how their involvement affects IPO underpricing. IPO underpricing, a well-documented phenomenon where shares are priced below their market value on the first trading day, has been extensively studied, often with an emphasis on the role of underwriters (UWs). However, this research addresses the gap in literature regarding the distinct contributions of FAs, who are crucial yet often conflated with UWs.

Drawing on the context of Thailand, where regulatory requirements mandate the involvement of FAs separate from UWs, this study investigates the impact of reputable FAs on IPO pricing. The research highlights the differing incentives and responsibilities of FAs and UWs, with FAs being more aligned with issuers' interests due to their fee-based compensation and ongoing advisory roles. Conversely, UWs may favor investors to secure future business, potentially leading to higher underpricing.

Through a detailed examination of the Thai IPO market, where FAs play a significant role throughout the listing process, this study provides insights into how FAs influence IPO outcomes. The findings suggest that distinguishing between the roles of FAs and UWs can enhance our understanding of IPO pricing mechanisms and offer practical implications for issuers aiming to optimize their IPO strategies.
2023
FX 17
Sutdta Phainoun
Household debt on retirement preparedness for Thai population
Thailand household debt problem are key barriers to retirees achieving financial freedom. This study aims to access the relationship between mortgage debt, credit card debt and education debts with the retirement preparedness of working-age population aged 30-60 years old in Thailand by utilizing multiple linear regression analysis. The findings revealed that Thai populations are at a moderate level of retirement preparedness. The private sector is particularly concerned about the lack of savings for later life. Moreover, not all kinds of debts are bad debt, mortgage debt could fall into the category of good debt since it may be tax-deductible, credit card debt could be cash flow management and education debt could create an opportunity for hundreds of thousands of students in need. However, we found that individuals who carried debt exceed their income have a negative statistically significant effect on retirement preparedness index.
2023
FX 17
Tanabordee Jutaputthi
The Effect of Earnings Quality on Financial Analysts’ Dividend Forecast Error : The Moderating Roles of Investor Sentiment and Economic Uncertainty
This study investigates the influence of earnings quality on the accuracy of financial analysts' dividend forecasts for companies listed on the Thailand Stock Market Exchange (SET) and the Market for Alternative Investment (mai) for the period from 2015 to 2022. using a sample of 891 observations. focusing on the moderating roles of investor sentiment and economic uncertainty. The findings reveal that good earnings quality helps reduce dividend forecast errors. We find no evidence of the moderating roles of investor sentiment and economic uncertainty, implying that analysts might possess the expertise to incorporate the implications of economic uncertainty into their forecasts effectively, ensuring that their predictions remain reliable even in challenging times. Analysts who prioritize fundamental analysis, such as examining financial statements, earnings reports, and management guidance, over investor sentiment are likely to generate more accurate dividend forecasts that are independent of market mood. Analysts' forecasting behavior is more influenced by factors such as private information, experience and expertise, and career concerns rather than by investor sentiment. Robustness tests indicate that the impact of earnings quality is sensitive to model specifications. These results highlight the complexity of the relationship and suggest the need for additional factors in financial forecasting models.
2023
FX 17
Thanwarat Limwattananukul
Does Observability of Downgrade Risk Matter For Corporate Investment?
This study examines firms’ capital investment decisions in relation to their credit ratings. As firms approach near-BBB credit ratings, they tend to change their behavior due to the fear of a downgrade. I found that, in general, Thai firms’ credit ratings do not influence investment decisions. However, as firms near BBB ratings, their behavior tends to shift. To clarify, firms at the lower end of the investment grade are inclined to make conservative investment decisions due to the risk of being downgraded to speculative grade. Therefore, the threat of a downgrade to speculative grade encourages managers to adopt more conservative investment strategies. The greater the perceived threat, the stronger the impact of these investment-grade cut-offs on investment decisions. Furthermore, I also studied the investment decisions of unrated firms. Firms without credit ratings do not change their investment decisions as their hypothetical credit ratings approach BBB, unlike rated firms. The reason behind this is that unrated firms’ credit ratings are hidden in the capital market, allowing them to raise funds freely since their credit ratings are not publicly disclosed.
2023
FX 17
Thosaporn Tonghui
The Impact of ESG Performance on Stock Volatility in Asia-Pacific Markets: The Moderating Roles of Corruption and Economic Development
This study examines the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) disclosures and scores on stock volatility in Asia-Pacific markets. The paper also assesses the moderating roles of corruption and economic development in this relationship. Using data from 2010 to 2022, the research employs the Fama-French multi-factor models to analyze the relationship between ESG metrics and stock idiosyncratic volatility. The findings indicate that both ESG disclosure and higher overall ESG scores significantly reduce stock volatility, underscoring the importance of transparency and robust ESG practices in mitigating firm-specific risks. Additionally, the study reveals that the social and governance pillars of ESG have a more pronounced effect on reducing volatility compared to the environmental pillar. The analysis of moderating factors shows that lower levels of corruption enhance the volatility-reducing benefits of ESG disclosures, while improvements in economic development amplify the volatility-reducing benefits of ESG performance. These results highlight the necessity for improved regulatory frameworks and a stronger corporate commitment to ESG principles in emerging markets. This research provides valuable insights for regulators, governments, companies, and investors, emphasizing the critical role of ESG practices in fostering market stability and promoting sustainable economic development in the Asia-Pacific region.
2023
FT 27
Warit Chitpaiboon
Relationship between institutional ownership and stock returns: Evidence from Thailand
Institutional investors play a crucial role in financial markets. Understanding how their ownership affects stock returns can provide valuable insights for both institutional investors and individual investors in making informed investment decisions.
In financial markets, the relationship between institutional ownership and stock returns has been a subject of extensive debate. Institutional investors, including mutual funds, pension funds, and hedge funds, wield significant influence over equity markets due to their holdings' sheer magnitude and ability to execute large-scale trades. Understanding how their investment decisions impact stock returns is not only crucial for investors seeking to optimize their portfolios but also for policymakers and market regulators aiming to maintain the integrity and efficiency of financial markets.
Although a large body of literature has studied the behavior of institutional trading and its impact on asset prices and returns, the investment horizon of institutional investors remains an open question.
Previously, several studies have shown that institutional investors have more information than individual investors, Yan and Zhang (2009); Puckett and Yan (2011); PÁStor et al. (2017) show that, while short-term institutions’ trades positively predict future stock returns, long-term institutions’ trades do not have any predictive power.
However, Gompers and Metrick (2001) state that two forces may be driving the positive relationship between institutional ownership and future returns: institutions either provide persistent demand shocks or they have an informational advantage. Yan and Zhang (2019) found that they have an informational advantage, and it is short-term institutional investors.
This result suggests that, if an institutional investor has an informational advantage over a group of stocks, it will exploit this advantage by actively and frequently trading these stocks to the limits such that there are no further gains. This is consistent with the notion that short-term institutions’ active and frequent trading (to exploit their informational advantage) contribute to their trades being more informed compared to the rest of other institutional investors’ trades.
The investment horizon denotes the timeframe over which institutional investors intend to hold a particular stock, ranging from short-term trading to long-term buy-and-hold strategies. Concurrently, the information possessed by institutional investors encompasses a spectrum of insights derived from various sources, including financial reports, industry research, and privileged access to corporate executives.
The relationship between institutional ownership and stock returns is a topic of significant interest and contention within the field of finance. While institutional investors play a pivotal role in shaping market dynamics, the precise mechanisms through which their ownership affects stock returns remain incompletely understood. This lack of clarity poses a critical challenge for investors seeking to optimize their portfolio allocations and policymakers striving to maintain market efficiency and integrity.
2023
FT 26
Burist Chertchoo
The intervention of shareholder activism, does it actually improve firm performance? Evidence from APAC
This study examines the influence of shareholder activism on the performance of 420 Asia-Pacific firms from 2013 to 2022, utilizing the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Fama-French-Carhart model to assess abnormal returns. Findings indicate a generally positive trend in firm performance post-activism, particularly over long periods, suggesting activism's potential to drive sustained firm value improvements. In addition, there is no enough evidence to conclude that the target firms experience the pump-and-dump pattern after the departure of shareholder activists. However, the impact of specific activism strategies and outcomes on performance often lacks statistical significance, highlighting the multifaceted nature of activism's effects. Core activists emerge with a significant positive impact, while the significance of an activist's stake size and the breadth of objectives varies, pointing to the complex interplay between activism strategies and firm outcomes. The study calls for further research to understand the conditions under which activism most effectively enhances firm performance, emphasizing the nuanced role of shareholder activism in corporate development and value creation in the APAC region.
2023
FT 26
KITTIPOJ RUJJANAVATE
The Dual Impact of Transportation Infrastructure and Telecommunication Technology on Analyst Coverage and Forecast Accuracy: Evidence from the Thai Market?
This paper investigates the determinants of forecast accuracy and brokerage coverage in the Thailand stock market from 2009 to 2022. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset comprising various financial metrics and market variables, we explore the impact of infrastructure development, digital communication, and external factors such as the Covid-19 pandemic on analysts' forecast accuracy and the coverage of stocks by brokerage firms. Our analysis employs regression models to examine the relationships between these variables and forecast accuracy, as measured by the absolute deviation between predicted and actual earnings, and brokerage coverage, quantified by the number of brokerage firms covering a particular stock. The results reveal nuanced relationships between infrastructure development, digital communication, and forecast accuracy, with infrastructure improvements and digital tools exhibiting varying effects on analyst behavior and forecast accuracy. Moreover, the Covid-19 pandemic and its associated disruptions have introduced additional complexities, altering the dynamics of forecast accuracy and brokerage coverage in ways not fully captured by traditional metrics. Our findings underscore the importance of considering the interplay between physical and digital infrastructures, alongside external factors, in shaping market dynamics and analyst behavior. Additionally, control variables such as firm profitability and financial leverage exhibit consistent significance, highlighting the influence of firm-specific financial health on market outcomes. Overall, our study contributes to a deeper understanding of the factors driving forecast accuracy and brokerage coverage in financial markets, providing valuable insights for investors, analysts, and policymakers alike.
2023
FX 16
Chanikan Veerachadsakulchai
The impact of Green House Gas emission on firm's performance in Japan
This study investigates the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on corporate financial performance in Japan, with a particular focus on the role of environmental regulations. We hypothesize that while lower GHG emissions generally enhance financial performance, the benefits diminish beyond a certain point. Additionally, we examine how stringent environmental regulations influence this relationship. We use total GHG emissions and total GHG emissions per company’s enterprise value including cash (EVIC) as the proxies. The results indicate that GHG emissions negatively impact corporate financial performance, as measured by ROA and Tobin's Q. However, the regulatory environment, whether stringent or not, does not significantly alter this relationship. These findings suggest that while regulatory measures might have short-term profitability implications, they do not necessarily negatively impact long-term firm valuations. Furthermore, the study reveals that companies with lower emissions may incur fewer long-term costs highlighting the financial benefits of effective pollution management, particularly in the context of strict environmental regulations. Also, the study provides valuable implications for policymakers and businesses, highlighting the complex interplay between environmental responsibility, regulatory frameworks, and financial performance.
2023
FT 26
Chantanit Limapichat
The effect of goodwill impairment avoidance on future performance growth: Evidence from Thailand
This study explores the impact of goodwill impairment avoidance on the future financial performance growth of firms listed on the Stock Exchanges of Thailand (SET). Spanning 14 years from 2008 to 2021, the research analyzes 405 observations from 124 distinct firms, utilizing multivariate regression models to uncover the relationship. The study also focuses on understanding how Big 4 auditors can impact this dynamic.
The study finds evidence that firms avoiding timely goodwill impairment exhibit lower performance growth in the subsequent year. Interestingly, the negative impact of goodwill avoidance is less pronounced for firms audited by one of the Big 4 compared to those audited by non-Big 4 firms.
The practical implications of the findings extend to stakeholders in Thailand's financial landscape. Users of financial statements can refine decision-making by scrutinizing report reliability and staying vigilant about firms suspected of goodwill impairment avoidance. Regulators can leverage the research to consider improvements to accounting standards. The study highlights the crucial role of Big 4 audit firms in mitigating adverse effects, emphasizing the significance of auditor reputation and oversight in financial reporting, particularly concerning goodwill impairment recognition.
2023
FX 16
Chanunchita Watcharavasunthara
The Role of Return Dispersion in Momentum Profit: A Study in the Thai Stock Market
This study investigates the influence of market return dispersion on the profitability of momentum investment strategies within the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). Employing an analytical approach, the research identifies a significant and persistent pattern of return dispersion in the Thai stock market. This pattern is characterized by a strong positive correlation between the dispersion of returns in a given period and the subsequent period, as confirmed by a significant autoregressive coefficient and the Dickey-Fuller test. Additionally, the study explores the performance consistency of top-performing stocks during periods of high and low dispersion, using transition matrices and the Chi-squared test. The results indicate a notable stability in the probability of stocks maintaining their performance rankings, regardless of market return dispersion. Furthermore, the study assesses the effectiveness of various momentum strategies – Traditional Momentum, Weighted Dispersion Momentum, and High Dispersion Momentum – considering the return dispersion factor. The Weighted Dispersion Momentum strategy emerges as the most effective, offering the highest returns with the lowest volatility. However, the analysis reveals that during the period under examination, investing solely in SETTRI would have been the most advantageous strategy. This finding underscores the significance of evaluating momentum strategies against benchmark indices to determine their relative effectiveness. The study concludes that integrating the concept of market return dispersion into momentum strategies can significantly enhance portfolio performance in the Thai stock market, but this approach may not always surpass the returns of a well-established benchmark like the SETTRI.
2023
FT 26
Jirayu Nakviroj
INVESTOR TYPE EFFECT TO VOLATILITY-VOLUME RELATIONSHIP: SET50 INDEX FUTURES
This study delves into the complex interplay between various types of traders and the resulting effects on the volatility-volume relationship in Thailand's SET50 Index Futures market. It categorizes traders into institutional, retail, and foreign investors, examining their distinct trading behaviors and access to information. The research aims to discern how these diverse investor profiles impact market volatility, particularly in the context of an emerging financial market like Thailand.
Utilizing a range of econometric techniques, the study categorizes trading activity into expected and unexpected variables. The findings reveal a positive correlation between retail investors' expected trading volume and market volatility, aligning with the notion that less informed traders, lacking access to private or semi-fundamental information, exhibit a greater dispersion of beliefs. Surprisingly, retail investors display more caution in unexpected market scenarios, reducing their trading activity, which contrasts with their general speculative behavior. Conversely, institutional and foreign investors, often considered more informed, do not show a statistically significant impact on market volatility. Additionally, the study finds that changes in open interest do not significantly influence the volatility of the SET50 Index Futures, suggesting a need for further exploration into this aspect.
The research contributes valuable insights for regulatory bodies, investment managers, and market strategists, especially in formulating policies and strategies for emerging markets. Understanding the differentiated roles of investor types is crucial for market stabilization efforts and aligning investment approaches with market behaviors.
2023
FX 16
Kanokphorn Pongklang
Examining Purity and Green Complexity Score on Wind and Solar Stock Return
This study investigates whether investment styles in wind and solar sector with technology-specific considerations incentivize portfolio investors. We use two criteria to create high and low score portfolios using 150 global large capitalization stocks in renewable energy and sector classified by Bloomberg Industry Classification Systems (BICS). The sorting factors include green complexity score and purity score. The assessment of comparative return and risk-adjusted performance demonstrates that high score portfolios dominate their low counterparts. Our results also indicate that divestment of low green complexity country enhances portfolio performance and has incentives for investors. The comparative green complexity score in wind and solar suggests leading producers of these renewable energy products in the future. The knowledge accessible to investors as they strategically build their portfolios in the renewable energy industry is augmented by knowing which nations are more specialized in the manufacturing and manufacture of wind and solar items than other kinds of eco-friendly goods.
2023
FT 26
Methee Srikranjanapert
Does ESG Performance Impact Financial Distress Risk? Evidence from Asia-Pacific Markets
This research investigates the relationship between Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance, represented by ESG scores, and Probability of Financial Distress Risk (FDR), as proxied by Ohlson O-Score, for firms operating in the Asia-Pacific region from 2010 to 2022. In addition, the aforementioned relationship during economic crisis and the level of market development is also investigated. The findings reveal a negative association between ESG performance and the probability of FDR in which the increase in ESG performance reduces the likelihood of FDR. Notably, the environmental and social pillars of ESG consistently exhibit negative relationship with FDR, with the social pillar having more pronounced effect. However, the governance pillar presents mixed results, underscoring the potential risks of excessive investment in governance-related activities. Moreover, this study underscores the impact of external factors, such as economic conditions and market development levels, on the ESG-FDR relationship. During economic crises, the Covid-19 pandemic, firms prioritizing ESG practices faced an elevated likelihood of financial distress. In terms of level of market development between developed and emerging markets, the research highlights that ESG practices exert a more significant influence in developed markets in the reduction in the probability of FDR, emphasizing the role of market maturity in shaping this connection.
2023
FX 16
Napisa Saengmaneenimitr
The Impact of Regulation, Financial Liberalization, and Mobile Banking on Banking Crises: Evidence from Cross-Country Data
This paper examines how financial liberalization, institutional quality, and mobile banking adoption affect the probability of a banking crisis using a panel of 36 countries over the period 2000 – 2021. Our key inference is that the relationship between financial liberalization and the probability of a banking crisis is depended in institutional quality. In strong institutional quality countries, the impact of financial liberalization on the probability of a banking crisis is a concave curve, increasing the likelihood of a crisis at low to moderate liberalization levels and reducing it at medium to high levels. Conversely, weak institutions do not exhibit an impact. Surprisingly, mobile banking adoption is associated with a decreased likelihood of a banking crisis, showing its benefits. Moreover, mobile banking adoption intensifies the impact of financial liberalization on the probability of a banking crisis only in countries with strong institutional quality. Additionally, in bank-based financial systems, mobile banking adoption can intensify the impact of financial liberalization on the probability of banking crises, aligning with the characteristics of centralized bank-based countries with commercial banks as intermediaries.
2023
FT 26
Nattakij Summakarawa
Exploring the Link Between ESG Scores and Downside Risks of Stock Returns During Periods of Negative Shock: Evidence in APAC
This study investigates the empirical association between Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors and downside risks in stock returns during negative shocks focusing on 13 countries within the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. The study assesses ESG performance using combined ESG scores, E pillar, S pillar, G pillar and controversy scores, examining their impact on downside risk measured by Value at Risk (VaR) and Maximum Drawdown (MDD). The sample includes publicly traded companies across diverse APAC countries from 2012 to 2021. The research contextualizes the global significance of ESG practices, emphasizing their role in mitigating financial risks and contributing to sustainable financial markets. The study addresses a research gap by specifically exploring the APAC region, providing insights for investors, regulators, and society. The regression results confirm the negative relationship between ESG performance and downside risk, except for the Environmental pillar is not significant. This possibly reflects regional differences in environmental standards. The study emphasizes the importance of disaggregating ESG metrics for accurate risk assessment. Results reveal the complex interplay between ESG metrics, the rule of law, and financial risk. This complexity arises because ESG may have varying impacts on financial risk depending on the strength and nature of the rule of law in different jurisdictions. The findings contribute significantly to understanding the relationship between ESG aspects, legal frameworks, and downside risk in the APAC region. Investors, governments, and policymakers can leverage these insights to manage risk exposure, strengthen legal frameworks, and promote sustainable financial markets in both developed and emerging economies.
2023
FX 16
Netchanok Thongplod
The Effect of Earning Surprise on Market Reaction at Various Free Float Levels: An Event Study in Thailand
This study investigates the complex relationship between free float and market reactions to earnings surprises within the context of the Thai stock market, casting light on the role of free float in influencing market efficiency and investor behavior. The study examines the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), which states that stock prices reflect all available information, making consistent market outperformance difficult. However, it acknowledges that market inefficiencies can occur, with earnings surprises as one possible source. The study investigates how the level of free float or the number of shares available for trading impact the speed and precision of market adjustments to earnings surprises. A limited free float could have an impact on stock prices and market efficiency. This phenomenon is investigated using a sample of Thai stock market data from 2012 to 2019, such as earnings surprise, stock price, and free float levels. Low free float stocks have a significant impact on cumulative abnormal returns following earnings surprises, with a distinct pattern of initial enthusiasm and potential overreactions. In contrast, stocks with a high free float react quickly to negative news, resulting in greater price declines. These findings have considerable implications for market participants and researchers, highlighting the significance of incorporating free float into stock market dynamics analyses. This study provides valuable insights into the interaction between free float, market efficiency, and investor behavior in the context of earnings surprises on the Thai stock market.
2023
FT 26
Nuttapol Sirinakorn
Utilizing Asymmetric Shock on Volatility and Asymmetric Beta for Enhanced Investment Strategies in the Stock Exchange of Thailand
This study investigates the impacts of asymmetric shock on volatility and beta within the Thai stock exchange. It finds that portfolios composed of stocks that demonstrate lower sensitivity to negative shocks and heightened responsiveness to market trends consistently outperform in various market conditions. The empirical analysis, spanning from 2018 to 2022, underscores the benefits of integrating asymmetry into investment strategies. A long-short strategy, in particular, is identified as highly effective, providing a means to capitalize on this asymmetry. The comparison of asymmetry-based portfolios with traditional ones and the SET index further illuminates the advantages of such strategies in enhancing risk-adjusted returns and effectively managing downside risk, thus offering investors a significant advantage in portfolio management.
2023
FX 16
Pimnara Ratanasaeng
The Credit Risk-Return Puzzle and The Value Premium Puzzle in Thailand
The objective of this study is to examine the presence of two puzzles in the stock market which are empirically inconsistent with the fundamental principle of risk and return. Theoretically, the assets with higher risk should compensate higher returns. However, when the credit risk is considered, the previous evidences show that the stocks of firms with high credit rating (low risk) generate higher return than the stocks of firms with low credit rating (high risk). Moreover, previous studies find that the firms with high book-to-market (value firm) generates higher return on stock than the firms with low book-to-market (growth firm). This study tests the puzzles in Thailand by using data from 150 firms with credit ratings from 2015 to 2022. The result shows the credit risk-return puzzle does not exist in Thai market, but the value premium puzzle is presented in Thai market.
2023
FT 26
Pimnara Supradith Na Ayudhya
Enhancing Momentum Strategy with Insider Transaction Information in the Stock Exchange of Thailand
This study introduces a novel approach to enhancing the momentum strategy in the Thai stock market. We combine the traditional momentum strategy, focusing on historical performance, with insights from insider transactions disclosed via SEC 59-2 forms. This dual approach aims to construct robust trading portfolios, with long positions in high-performing stocks backed by recent insider purchases and short positions in underperforming stocks accompanied by recent insider sales. Notably, our analysis spans the period from January 2016 to December 2022, encompassing the tumultuous era of the COVID-19-induced Thai stock market crashes.
Interestingly, we discovered the potential of using insider transaction information to construct trading portfolios capable of predicting future stock movements. Moreover, the integration of insider transaction data with the momentum strategy improved our portfolio's performance in terms of stronger returns and increased robustness over time. Regrettably, we have not yet identified a solution to make this momentum strategy resilient during market crash periods, which can lead to momentum crashes.
2023
FT 26
Sann Wai Lhyan
Does ESG Matter In Corporate Takeover? Evidence from Asia-Pacific Region
As Environmental, Social, and Governance scores (ESG) are increasingly becoming aware to the public, it is imperative to understand the impact of ESG on firm values, especially in the Asia-Pacific region, as it is home to a diverse and rapidly growing economy, including emerging markets. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between ESG and firm value using the takeover market as an empirical setting.
The primary focus of the study involves examining the influence of ESG on the occurrence of takeovers through binary logistic regression. Subsequently, the study explores the association between ESG and target firm shareholder wealth gain (measured by cumulative abnormal return - CAR) using a linear regression model. The findings suggest a positive relationship between ESG and the probability of a target firm being taken over, aligning with the concept of synergistic takeovers. However, it is also found that an excessive allocation of resources on ESG can not only diminishes the likelihood of a takeover but also reduces the wealth gain (CAR) for target shareholders during the takeover announcements.
In conclusion, a positive and significant relation is observed between ESG and the probability of takeover. Furthermore, a notable positive and significant association is found between ESG and shareholder wealth gain. Crucially, it is found that ESG square term has a negative and significant relation on ESG and CAR, i.e. - a non-linear relationship, showing that ESG has a diminishing effect on CAR. Therefore, the paper highlights the need for companies to maintain an ideal ESG standard to optimize target shareholder wealth gain in terms of corporate takeovers perspective.
2023
FX 16
Supichaya Pattanapanitchai
Information Asymmetry Transmissions between Futures and Spot Markets: Evidence from Thailand
This research investigates the existence of a lead-lag relationship in information asymmetry between Thailand's futures and spot markets. We use the volatility of order imbalance (VOIB) as an indicator of this asymmetry, concentrating on three investor groups: Foreign Investors (FI), Local Institutions (LS), and Local Investors (LI). Data from TFEX and SET, covering January 2017 to December 2022, was analyzed to identify trading patterns of these investor types. Using vector autoregression (VAR), we examined the connection between variables in the futures and spot markets. We also evaluated the impact of shocks in one market on the other using impulse response functions and variance decomposition.
Our findings showed that local institutional and local investors in Thailand are more linked with informed trading compared to foreign investors. Local investors often access information early and share it with local institutions in spot market. Furthermore, trading patterns in the futures market significantly influence those in the stock market, particularly among local institutional and local investors. This shows that key information in the futures market gets effectively transferred to the spot market. The findings of this study provided empirical support for our hypotheses, which implied the existence of informed traders who have information and investors tend to adjust their trading activities in the futures market prior to making adjustments in the spot markets.
2023
FX 16
Treepatchara Tasnavijitvong
The Roles of Catastrophe (CAT) Bonds: Diversifier, Hedge, or Safe Haven?
This research investigates the role of Catastrophe (CAT) Bonds as diversification tools, hedges, and safe havens in global financial markets, with a focus on their behavior during the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 crisis. The study reveals that CAT bonds, recognized as a valuable asset class for their unique structure and ability to transfer catastrophic risks, have gained prominence among institutional investors. By examining the diversification benefits of CAT bonds in relation to traditional assets and analyzing their performance in crisis and non-crisis periods, the research highlights CAT bonds as effective tools for risk management and portfolio diversification. The findings demonstrate CAT bonds' ability to offer stability and protection in volatile market conditions, providing valuable insights for portfolio managers and investors. Additionally, the study explores the role of CAT bonds in different market conditions, contributing to the understanding of their potential in portfolio management and risk mitigation across various economic landscapes.
2023
FT 26
Wanlaya Boonsongkhoh
The effect of bank liquidity creation on performance and stock returns: Evidence from Thailand
This study investigates the relationship between bank liquidity creation, performance, and stock returns across 11 banks in Thailand from 2012 to 2021, spanning the economic crisis in Thailand and the COVID-19 pandemic. Liquidity creation measures the extent to which banks generate a money supply for the public, classified into liquidity created on the balance sheet and liquidity created both on and off the balance sheet categories. After controlling for macroeconomic and bank-specific variables, the results of a fixed-effects regression model reveal that next-period performance and stock returns deteriorate as liquidity creation levels increase. An inverted U-shaped relationship between liquidity creation (excluding off-balance sheet activities) and subsequent period performance is also observed, suggesting a trade-off between profitability and risk management. Furthermore, during a crisis, liquidity creation has a negative impact on bank performance and stock returns; however, this relationship is not significant when considering liquidity created on- and off-balance sheet activities and stock returns. This might be attributed to investors prioritizing on-balance sheet activities due to their immediate impact on a company's financial health, while off-balance sheet activities often involve non-cash credit and may have less short-term influence on stock returns. Additionally, a Mann-Whitney U test is employed to support the hypotheses; overall, it shows that increased liquidity creation is associated with lower performance. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, regulators, and investors regarding liquidity creation and its implications for bank performance and stock returns.
2023
FT 26
Wiraya Nillaorsrisakul
The Influence of ESG Performance on the Cost of Debt: Evidence from Asia Pacific Countries: The Moderating Role of Economic Policy uncertainty
This paper examines the influence of ESG performance on the cost of debt (CoD) in Asia-Pacific firms from 2010 to 2022. It is among the first to explore how ESG performance scores affect the cost of debt against different economic conditions and market maturity levels. The study finds that companies with higher ESG ratings, particularly environmental and social dimensions, correlate with lower borrowing costs. Governance scores also matter, but they don't seem to influence borrowing costs as much. Additionally, the paper reveals that ESG's impact on borrowing costs is stronger in developed countries than in emerging ones. The research also indicates that during times of economic uncertainty, firms with better social ESG scores are able to adapt more effectively, which may influence their borrowing costs.
2022
FX 14
Chaiwat Sae-low
Trade credit with firms' life cycle: Evidence from Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET)
This study examines how firms’ life cycle affects Trade credit including the recession period by using evidence from Stock Exchange Thailand (SET). The study has been performed during 2000 – 2020 with 253 listed firms. Regarding results, it suggested that the firm life cycle has a significant impact on AR and AP days, except for AP’s growth. During the recession period, AP days for the introduction and mature stage have no positive impact. The empirical also finds there are no significant levels for the introduction and mature stage of AR and AP days, which have a high level of market concentration during the recession period.
2022
FX 16
Chalita Rammavas
The Relationship of Intangible Capital and ESG Score on Capital Structure: Evidence from Thailand
This study examines whether intangible capital influences capital
structure which influent to cost of debt. Moreover, this study also
analyzes more whether adding the effect of and ESG performance as risk
reduction together with intangible capital affect to capital structure by
using financial leverage and WACC cost of debt as the dependent
variable and using intangible capital and ESG performance as
independent variable.
The empirical results of this study show intangible capital and
financial leverage are not relevant under these equations. Moreover, they
also have no relationship between intangible capital and cost of debt, and
there is a 10% chance that the observed a negative relationship between
the companies which have the increase in intangible capital with the
higher ESG score and financial leverage due to random chance rather
than a true association. However, the interesting parts is when we focus
within firm, increasing in ESG score is associated with increasing in cost
of debt. These results are opposite to the primary expectation that ESG
score would reduce that risk. The backup information of these results is
mainly associated with Gonçalves, Dias et al. (2022) who concluded that
creditors believe that the sustainability activities with the borrower’s
firms are considered as a waste of a firms’ cost under the overinvestment
theory.
2022
FX 14
Chawan Ratapana
Post-Earnings Announcement Drift in Thai REITs - A take from the recent pandemic
The research explores the information content of earnings announcements in REITs operating in a market with less stable rental incomes. By examining the presence of Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift (PEAD) in Thai REITs, this study contributes to existing literature and investigates changes in market efficiency for REITs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the Earnings Announcement Returns (EAR) method, the study analyzes abnormal returns through visual analysis and a trust/firm-level regression framework.
Findings indicate a PEAD effect as the baseline for abnormal returns in the local market, suggesting potential market inefficiencies. However, most variables in regression analysis do not significantly address the research questions, except for firm size and earnings surprise. The study finds that being a Thai REIT or Real Estate Operating Company (REOC) does not have a significant effect on the PEAD effect. Additionally, larger market capitalization in REITs/REOCs is associated with reduced PEAD or greater price efficiency. Comparing alternative models incorporating market-based surprise indicators, the study observes firm or trust size as a key explanatory variable, regardless of earnings surprises or market-based indicators. This suggests that information asymmetry is influenced by firm or trust size, with larger firms attracting more analyst coverage, leading to increased information efficiency and reduced PEAD effect.
Regarding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the study does not find significant evidence of a difference in the PEAD effect between the pre and post-COVID periods. Contrary to expectations, firms' market capitalization shows a slightly negative but highly significant coefficient. In summary, this study investigates the information content of earnings announcements in REITs and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on market efficiency. It provides insights into the PEAD effect, the role of firm size, and the limited influence of COVID-19 on REIT pricing. Further research could explore additional factors to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics in the REIT context.
2022
FT 26
Chayakon Kamolsawat
The analysis of enhanced momentum strategies in the Stock Exchange of Thailand
The purpose of this study is to investigate the effectiveness of momentum strategies in investment
portfolios, a well-known anomaly in the efficient market hypothesis, by portfolio are constructed by long winners
and short losers. Specifically, the study focuses on the use of volatility to enhance momentum strategies in the
Stock Exchange of Thailand from January 2013 to December 2022. The enhanced momentum strategies under
investigation vary the portfolio weight with volatility and can be classified into constant volatility-scaled, constant
semi-volatility-scaled, and dynamic-scaled approaches. The research aims to achieve two main objectives. Firstly,
to analyze the potential of the enhanced momentum strategies by comparing the average return, the Sharpe ratio,
and maximum drawdown, while also taking into account transaction costs as proxied by round-trip costs.
Secondly, to examine the time-varying characteristics of these approaches and identify sub-periods within
momentum crashes, which are associated with consistent negative returns. These periods typically occur during
panic states following market declines and coincide with market rebounds. Additionally, asymmetry in bull and
bear markets is analyzed.
The findings of this study demonstrate that enhanced momentum strategies exhibit superior
performance compared to the standard momentum approach, both from a statistical and economic standpoint.
These volatility-managed portfolios effectively scale and time the volatility of the standard portfolio, leading to
improved returns and Sharpe ratio. Furthermore, the study highlights the emergence of a momentum crash in the
Thai stock market, commencing in early 2020. Even amidst market crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic,
certain enhanced strategies outperform the standard approach, particularly the dynamic approach. By considering
the expected return in its scaling, this dynamic approach enables the portfolio to achieve high profitability during
the momentum crash. Moreover, the study identifies that transaction costs are generally manageable, except for
some significant levels observed in the standard momentum approach.
Finally, this study reveals that momentum portfolios display asymmetry in their sensitivity between
bull and bear markets. These strategies tend to generate positive returns by aligning with the market during bullish
phases, while moving in the opposite direction during bearish phases. By holding a momentum portfolio during
a bullish market, investors can enjoy on the trend-following strategy. Conversely, during trend reversals, the
sensitivity or risk automatically decreases. This decrease in sensitivity during trend reversals can be interpreted
as an inherent risk management mechanism embedded within momentum portfolios. Throughout the sample
period, these momentum strategies demonstrate a consistent characteristic, except during the crisis period. During
this period, all momentum strategies exhibit significantly high sensitivity. However, the market's severe impact
caused by the pandemic introduces changes in the characteristic of momentum portfolios, leading to a momentum
crash and causing negative results and heightened volatility.
2022
FX 16
Chotiwat Kumhang
The Impact of Perceived Corruption Levels in Public Sector on Stock Market Development
Most of the empirical studies that analyze the impact of corruption on the
economy suggest that corruption is a serious obstacle against economic growth.
However, it is ambiguous whether corruption has negative effect on the financial
sector, especially stock market development. Thus, the first objective of this paper
is to reexamine the relationship between corruption and stock market development.
Furthermore, several previous literatures argue that democracy potentially mitigates
the negative effect of corruption on economic growth. By this argument, the second
goal of this paper is to investigate whether democracy has influence on mitigating
the negative impact of corruption from stock market development. This study
employs the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator for regression
analysis of cross-counties panel data, covering 10 years period from 2011 to 2020.
Corruption is found to have significant and positive effect on stock market
development in terms of size. Additionally, it is found that the influence of
democracy on corruption is significant and positive to stock market growth. When
stock market liquidity is used as a proxy of stock market development, it is found
that corruption has no significant effect on stock market development. Moreover,
democracy is found to have no significant influence on the relationship between
corruption and stock market development.
2022
FT 24
Disayadej Dangdej
The impact of government response to COVID-19 on stock return predictability
Recession is known to cause an increase in stock return predictability. The COVID19 pandemics had not only resulted in sickness and loss of life but also plunged global economy into recession prompting governments to come up with measures to combat the disease. This paper first confirms that return predictability increased due the spread of COVID19 using data from 41 countries on variations of popular predictors. Furthermore, it shows that government responses to COVID-19 alleviated the pandemic, the recession and reduced the return predictability with varying impact for different government measures. However, cases and deaths from COVID-19 which should have intensified the recession were found to have an insignificant impact on the return predictability.
2022
FX 16
Issaraphorn Voratavornviwat
A study of potential factor investing strategy from ESG score and intangible capital in Thailand
The independent study aimed to examine the relationship between Environmental, Social, and
Governance (ESG) scores and Intangible Capital Ratio (ICR) and their implications for buy-and-hold returns
(BHR) and stock performance among Thai listed companies. The study focuses on firms listed on the Stock
Exchange of Thailand (SET) with available ESG scores, covering the period from 2018 to 2022 (169 companies).
The finding for the first objective found that an increase in the ESG score leads to a rise in the ICR,
these findings highlight the importance of ESG scores and company size & high BTM in determining a firm’s
ICR. However, the study also considered fixed effects in terms of Stock, Year and Industry factors. The influence
of the ESG score on the ICR did not demonstrate statistical significance. We could not conclude from this analysis.
There is a gap in recognizing and capitalizing on the potential of ESG investing to build and enhance intangible
capital. Moreover, ESG investment is considered as a long-term value, it might take time to create value through
company.
The second objective: the findings show that ESG score and the ICR do not significantly influence
the return (RI) across all models. We do not have sufficient evidence to claim a significant relationship between
these independent variables and Return. The result supported the existing research on ESG did not significantly
affect stock performance and ESG/CSR investments may indicate agency problems. Moreover, there is in line
with CFA global ESG survey that some investors did not integrate ESG in the process of valuation. In addition,
intangible assets like brand reputation, patents, or proprietary technology can play a crucial role in a company's
success and potential for growth. Their value might not always be fully reflected in short-term stock price
movements but could have long-term effects on a company's market position and financial performance.
However, the study conducts a portfolio analysis to further explore abnormal returns and risk aspects.
The portfolio characterized by a Low ESG Score and High ICR (LH) demonstrates an impressive cumulative
return of 61.64%, outperforming the SETTRI benchmark at 21.99%. Furthermore, the LH portfolio exhibits the
highest alpha at 55.95% and better risk-adjusted performance based on the Sharpe and Treynor ratios.
In conclusion, the dissertation highlights the challenge and opportunity presented by the gap in
integrating ESG investing with intangible capital. With a limited sample size of 169 SET companies providing
ESG score data, further analysis is recommended to deepen our understanding of this subject. There is significant
potential for comprehensive ESG assessment, valuation, reporting standards, regulatory support, and increased
awareness to facilitate the full integration of ESG principles into investment strategies and the valuation of
intangible capital.
2022
FX 16
Jirayu Boonyuen
The Moderating Effect of Stock Price on the Relationship
between Earnings Quality and Dividend Payments: A Study of Thai Listed Companies
This research paper has the objective to investigate and examine
the basic relationship on the dividend policy and the earnings quality of
companies in Thai stock market, by covering all the industries. The
proxies for the earning qualities include a total of four proxies which
are earnings persistence, accruals quality, earnings informativeness, and
timely loss recognition. Moreover, this research paper also further
examines the incentive of dividend policy of companies under Thai
stock market by applying the dividend signaling Theory and the
information content of dividends hypothesis. The incentive of dividend
policy can be viewed as the signal sending by the corporation side.
Moreover, this research paper classifies the companies into two major
types of companies with stock price loser and company with stock price
gainer. Later that, the examination leads to see the difference incentive
to pay dividend between these major two types of company based on
the dividend signaling theory, the information content of dividends
hypothesis, and the catering incentives.
2022
FT 26
Kaung Htet
Impact of Environmental Policy Announcements on Investment Performance of Equity Mutual Funds
Previous research has shown that stock prices will also respond to environmental
policy announcements because of the impact on firms' value. As equity mutual funds are
primarily invested in stocks, this study aims to examine whether these announcements also
impact the investment performance of equity mutual firms. Some studies also prove that it
is still debatable whether green mutual funds or polluting mutual funds perform better in
terms of investment returns. Based on this, this study will also further extend to analyze
investment performance between green and polluting equity mutual funds under stringent
and loosened environmental policy announcements. This study utilized the polluting and
green mutual funds data from Morningstar as well as US SIF website. For the
announcements, the major environmental policy announcements were selected from several
US government websites as well as news sources. The event study methodology along with
regression analysis was used in this study to capture the cumulative abnormal returns
(CAR) generated from green and polluting mutual funds under stringent and loosened
environmental policy announcements. The findings indicate that significant impacts were
observed on cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) in both stringent and loosened
announcements for event periods of 5 days, 10 days and 20 days. To account for fund and
fund managers’ characteristics, control variables were added, and expense ratio and fund
size have material effect on fund returns except portfolio turnover ratio which appears to
have weak influence on mutual funds’ returns under the announcements. Furthermore,
when comparing investment performance of green and polluting mutual funds’
performance under stringent and loosened environmental policy announcements, it was
found that green mutual funds outperform most of the time.
2022
FX 16
Koravik Renuros
Global Oil Price Transmission to Domestic Diesel Prices, and the Impact on Listed Firm's Profitability and Stock Market Returns
Evidence from Thailand
This research paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics of
volatile oil prices over the past two decades, with a focus on the stock exchange of
Thailand from the period of 2004 to 2022. Firstly, the study utilizes the Vector
Autoregressive Model (VAR) technique to examine the impact of global oil price
fluctuations on domestic fuel prices and the stock market in Thailand. The findings
reveal that changes in global oil prices have a delayed and indirect effect on the
Thai stock market. The transmission of volatility through domestic diesel prices is a
crucial factor in this relationship. Notably, domestic diesel prices exhibit an
immediate influence on the stock market, serving as a reliable indicator of
economic growth. These insights shed light on the dynamic nature of the
interactions between diesel prices, global oil prices, and the stock market in
Thailand. Furthermore, the study investigates the impact of changes in domestic
diesel prices on the accounting performance measures of energy sector firms.
Through sub-sample analysis, the sample is divided into groups based on their
association with energy prices. The results demonstrate a positive and significant
effect of domestic diesel prices on accounting returns, particularly the return on
assets (ROA), across the energy sector. The effect is more pronounced within the
oil and gas companies. This highlights the dominant role of commodity prices,
particularly diesel prices, as explanatory factors for accounting performance
measures in the energy sector. Overall, this research contributes valuable insights
into the temporal relationship between commodity prices, stock market
performance, and accounting performance in the energy sector. By examining the
dynamics of volatile oil prices and their impact on the stock exchange and
accounting measures, this study enhances our understanding of the interconnections
and dynamics within the energy sector and its relationship with the broader
economy.
2022
FX 16
Kulthida Surattachaipong
The Impact of Audit Quality on Trading Suspension Propensity; Detection in Thailand
Based on each direct evidence consists of actual cases disclosed by the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC), and indirect evidence consists of suspected cases detected by the
identification model of trading suspension propensity. This study aimed to examine the
relationship between audit quality aspects and trading suspensions of listed companies in
Thailand, as well as the changes in this relationship after the outbreak of the COVID-19
pandemic. The research utilized สําคัญ obtained from the annual reports and financial statements
of 263 companies listed on the SET50 and MAI indexes, covering the periods of 2016 to 2018
and 2020 to 2022. The findings indicated that auditing practices contributed to enhancing the
validation of the information contained in financial statements and reports. This, in turn, resulted
in improved quality of financial information and reduced information asymmetry among users,
thereby discouraging insider trading and market manipulation. Consequently, the probability of
trading suspension was lowered without any notable difference observed during the COVID-19
period relative to the previous pandemic period. Furthermore, the study revealed that high-quality audit reports facilitated users' ability to predict future performance and expected returns
of companies. The signals of audit quality were assessed using Audit Firm Size, Audit Switch,
Audit Fees, Auditor Tenure, and Qualified Audit Opinion. The collected data underwent analysis
employing Descriptive statistics, Correlation analysis and Ordered Probit estimations.
2022
FX 14
Natapong Teekaput
Behavioral bias in number and the stability of stock price
This study investigates the behavioral bias in numbers. It analyzes the relationship between behavioral bias in the number of last-digit quote prices and volatility as a proxy of market inefficiency from 2 January 2020 to 30 June 2020 of penny stock in the Thailand stock market. This period is interesting because the circuit breaker triggered due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This research studies the event that exogenous effect on volatility to find that the relation between volatility and behavioral bias is still the same. The exogenous effect is the stock exchange of Thailand changed regulations by reducing the ceiling and increasing the floor to minimize the stock price volatility after the circuit breaker is triggered. The results show that penny stock in the Thailand stock market has bias behavioral in numbers with quote prices by ending digit 0. This study does not have evidence that bias behavior in the number of quote price impact volatility. These will provide evidence to the studies from Blau & Griffith (2016).
2022
FX 16
Niya Somkerd
Is greener really better? Stock market reaction to green bond announcements, Evidence from Europe
Employing an event-study approach, we examine how the stock market responded
to the offering of green bonds by non-financial companies listed on the European stock market
from January 2013 to September 2022. We observed a drop, on average about 0.28%, in the
company stock prices on the day they announced these offerings and the day after. Moreover,
we found that investors react in the same manner for green bond announcements as for
conventional bond announcements. We also studied if the Gavriilidis (2021)'s climate policy
uncertainty index has any relationship with the market reactions. Our findings suggest that the
index is positively related to the market's reaction to green bond offerings only before the
COVID-19 pandemic hit.
2022
FX 16
Onjira Sukijjakamin
Effect of Joining Paris Agreement to Green Bond Premium in US Market
The paper investigates whether green bonds are priced
at a premium compared to conventional bonds by analyzing
the yield spread between green bonds and comparable
conventional bonds (where a negative yield spread indicates a
premium). The study also examines the factors influencing the
yield difference including the effect of participating in Paris
Agreement to the green bond premium. Initially, the paper
expected to find a negative green bond premium, indicating
that green bonds have lower yields than comparable
conventional bonds, as investors are willing to accept lower
yields for the ESG benefits associated with green projects.
However, the paper obtained contradictory results.
Additionally, participating in the Paris Agreement cannot be
used to explain the green bond premium in US markets.
2022
FX 16
Primporn Thanomsakul
Fund Characteristics Immunity to COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Thailand
This research investigates the relationship between COVID-19 growth
rates and the performance of Thai equity funds during the pandemic. Focusing on
weeks with substantial increases in COVID-19 cases, we hypothesize that negative
returns primarily originate from these weeks. We acknowledge the pandemic's
impact as a black swan event, instilling fear and uncertainty, and its demonstrated
negative effect on fund returns. Moreover, our research aims to identify the fund
characteristics that have provided resilience and immunity to the negative effects of
the crisis. Using a panel data regression with a fixed effect model, we analyze
various fund characteristics and their impact on performance. The dataset covers the
initial and peak periods of the pandemic in Thailand from March 2020 to October
2021, and performance is evaluated using three metrics: excess risk-free return,
Sharpe ratio, and Jensen's alpha.
The findings reveal a negative relationship between COVID-19 growth
rates and domestic equity fund performance. Specifically, extreme growth cases
have a significant detrimental effect on fund performance. However, certain fund
characteristics, such as equity large-cap funds and fund age, demonstrate resilience
and positive performance during the pandemic. The research contributes to our
understanding of how fund characteristics and COVID-19 growth rates interact to
influence performance. It provides valuable insights for investors and fund
managers in fund selection and management strategies during challenging market
conditions.
2022
FX 16
Sita Kedvarin
How influential are FinFluencers? Granger Causality between Finance Influencers and Price Movements in Cryptocurrency and Stock Markets
This research investigates the influence of finance influencers on stock and
cryptocurrency returns by analyzing the relationship between their asset-related
YouTube videos and market movements. The study was conducted in two parts: the
VAR Granger causality analysis in both the cryptocurrency and stock markets, and
the analysis of the behavior of the top finance influencers in the cryptocurrency
market. The findings from the VAR Granger causality analysis revealed distinct
patterns between the cryptocurrency and stock markets. In the cryptocurrency
market, YouTube videos, particularly the number of videos published, showed a
significant Granger causality effect on returns. However, the causality from returns
to YouTube videos was less prominent. Conversely, in the stock market, the
relationship between YouTube videos and returns was weak or non-existent. The
influence of finance influencer content on stock returns appeared to be less
significant compared to the cryptocurrency market. Moreover, the study analyzes
the behavior of top finance influencers in the cryptocurrency market, demonstrating
that their impact on returns is not as significant as previously observed in the
overall market. The overall market dynamics and the presence of videos related to
cryptocurrencies play a more substantial role in influencing returns. Overall, these
findings indicate that while top finance influencers may attract a large number of
views, their influence on price movements in cryptocurrencies is not substantial.
The presence of videos related to cryptocurrencies, regardless of the creator, has a
significant pronounced impact on cryptocurrency returns.
2022
FX 16
Supanuch Limvisitsakul
The Effect of Capital Ratio on Risk, Efficiency and Profitability of Insurance Companies: Evidence from Singapore and Thailand
This research study examines the importance of capital ratios in assessing
the financial health of insurance companies in the context of Singapore and
Thailand. The primary objective is to investigate the extent to which capital ratios
provide informative insights into the risk, efficiency, and profitability of insurance
companies. The study covers both life and non-life insurance companies during
the period from 2017 to 2021.
The findings show that higher capital ratios correspond to lower liquidity
risk, improved efficiency, and increased profitability. These results emphasize the
importance of maintaining adequate capital reserves to ensure financial stability
and enhance operational performance in the insurance sector.
In conclusion, risk-based capital ratios not only serve as indicators for
solvency but also reflect liquidity risk, efficiency, and profitability. Adequate capital
reserves are crucial for the financial stability of insurance companies. This research
study expands the understanding of the relationship between capital ratios and
performance metrics, providing valuable insights for stakeholders involved in
managing and assessing the financial health.
2022
FX 14
Suphitcha Ekjariyakorn
Risk Shifting in Mutual Funds: Evidence in Thailand
The paper aims to examine whether risk-shifting behavior exists in Thai equity mutual funds or not. The empirical analysis studies the period from 2005 to 2022. It is investigated that risk-shifting behavior exists in Thailand by having compensation and employment incentive influences fund managers’ decision on risk shifting.
Firstly, this study uses the states of the market which are positive and negative market returns as the proxy of compensation and employment incentive, respectively. The finding is illustrated that mid-year losers take more risk of the portfolio in the latter half of the year in both positive and negative market return periods where the greater risk adjustment is found in the positive market return period. This relationship is the same for both tax and non-tax-privileged mutual funds. Also, the paper finds a stronger degree of risk shifting in tax than non-tax-privileged mutual funds.
Secondly, this study uses the profitability of the companies which the fund managers work under as another proxy. High and low profitability companies can refer to the domination of compensation and employment incentives respectively. The paper finds that underperformed fund managers increase the portfolio risk in the latter half of the year when working under high-profitability companies. The result is the same for low-profitability companies but a weaker degree of risk shifting.
2022
FT 26
Supisara Songdecha
The effect of democracy on the mutual fund recovery, Evidence from emerging countries
This research examines how democracy affects mutual fund performance and recovery in emerging
countries: Brazil, Chile, China, India, Mexico, South Africa, and Thailand. Data from 2010 to 2021 is analyzed,
focusing on domestic equity mutual funds. Democracy levels are measured using the V-Dem dataset.
Performance is evaluated using risk-adjusted returns, while recovery duration measures how long it takes for
funds to return to pre-crisis levels. The findings show that in Chile, characterized as a strong democracy,
demonstrates improved performance with higher levels of democracy. In contrast, Brazil, South Africa, India,
and Mexico exhibit higher returns with lower levels of democracy. China, as a non-democratic country, exhibits
a significantly negative impact. These negative relationships could be caused by struggles in making credible
commitments, increased risk-taking, credit rating downgrades during elections, and longer decision-making
processes. Meanwhile, Thailand, as a non-democratic country, exhibits a positive relationship, aligning with the
initial hypothesis. The study also finds that higher democracy levels prolong the recovery period for mutual
funds during crises. This research provides insights for policymakers and investors on how democracy
influences mutual fund performance and recovery in emerging economies.
2022
FT 26
Thurein Htet Myat
How flash manufacturing PMI is affecting the U.S. stock market. An empirical study.
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between the US
Flash Manufacturing PMI news releases, returns, and volatilities of Russell 1000 and 2000
indexes. Using an autoregressive (AR) and generalized autoregressive conditional
heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, the study examines data from January 2015 to
November 2022, encompassing both pre-pandemic, pandemic, and post-pandemic periods.
The statistical analysis indicates that these news releases do not significantly influence stock
returns, supporting the efficient market hypothesis. Various factors, including measurement
errors and the unique circumstances of the Covid-19 pandemic, likely overshadowed the
impact of PMI news releases. Additionally, the analysis finds no significant evidence to
support the hypothesis that PMI news releases have an amplified impact on stock market
volatilities during the pandemic compared to other periods. The study suggests considering
other economic indicators, applying advanced time-series analysis techniques, conducting
sector-specific analysis, exploring different stock markets, and extending the analysis over
longer periods for a more comprehensive understanding. This research contributes to the
understanding of the complex dynamics between economic indicators and stock market
performance.
2022
FX 16
Waraluk Rosmontee
The role of bank capital through monetary policy transmission mechanism
This study examines the role of bank capital in the transmission of
monetary policy, considering the bank lending channel (BLC) and financial
development. Analyzing bank-level data from nine countries during 2007-2021
with GMM method, the study finds that well-capitalized banks are better positioned
to expand loan supply and withstand adverse shocks. However, behavioral patterns
differ between developed and ASEAN countries. In developed nations, policy rate
changes have inconclusive effects on loan growth, while profitable banks and
inflation drive credit expansion. In ASEAN countries, policy rate increases are
associated with loan growth, reflecting favorable economic conditions. Financial
development impacts credit expansion differently in developed and ASEAN
countries, with improved financial systems mitigating shocks in ASEAN. These
findings emphasize the importance of bank capital and the need for policymakers to
consider bank capital and financial development in designing effective monetary
policies.

GLOBAL LEARNING

Student Exchange and Collaboration Courses are extraordinary opportunities for students to enrich and diversify their academic experience overseas. Each year MSF students take part in these activities to get a chance to work with renowned professors and vibrant students at our partner universities around the world. In addition to our students going outbound, there are international students from various universities exploring unique learning opportunity in our Program creating such an interesting diversity to MSF Program.
“Getting my Master’s degree from MSF Chula was a rewarding experience for me. As an international student, I felt cared for by the professors and staff. The program provides a lot of opportunities to expand my mind and enhance my experiences in the field of finance. Excellent educational resources and infrastructures lead to an overall enjoyable educational experience.”
Zahin M. Chowdhury (FX12) Managing Director, MNC Packages Ltd., Bangladesh
“The MSF program does contribute to the progress in my career at EGAT. Through the theoretical and practical knowledge in finance, I have been equipped with capabilities and confidences to cope with investment development challenges in the period of technology disruption and transition in energy industry.”
HARID KHAOLUANG (FX10) Chief, Investment Analysis and Development Department, Business Development Division of EGAT
MSF Chula offers a broad slate of academic courses for both freshly graduated and experienced professionals. The program requires 36 credit hours to graduate. In addition to the core course requirements, students must select one of these two options:
Plan A
THESIS OPTION
Students with less than 1 year work experience are required to take this option which is only offered full-time. Out of the required 36 units, students will take 24 credit units of course work and 12 credit units of thesis research project over 2-term period.
LESS THAN
1 year work experience

Plan A Diagram

Plan B
SPECIAL PROJECT OPTION
Students with at least 1 year of work experience are eligible to pursue this option on either a full-time or flexible schedule basis. This plan consists of 3 components: 30 credit units of course work, 6 credit units over 2 term period of research project, and a comprehensive examination which is to be taken the following term upon completion of all course works.
MORE THAN
1 year work experience

Plan B Diagram

FULL-TIME
PROGRAM
Our full-time classes meet on Monday – Friday from 9:00 – 16:00 hr. Upon availability of each individual lecturer, some classes may meet off-office hour.
Term 1
(August-November)
Term 2
(December-March)
Term 3
(April-July)
Plan A
(Thesis)
5 Core Courses 1 Core Courses +3 Elective Courses +Proposal 1 Elective Course +Thesis
Plan B
(Special Project)
5 Core Courses 1 Core Courses +3 Elective Courses+SP(l) 4 Elective Courses + SP(ll) + Comprehensive Exam
*Plan A: Students with less than 1 year work experience
Plan B: Students with at least 1 year work experience
FLEXIBLE
PROGRAM
We offer flexible program during weekends and after regular office hours to suit students who have full-time career and yet still want to pursue academic advancement. Flexible program classes meet on Saturday-Sunday from 9:00 – 17:00 hr. Subject to each lecturer’s schedule, some classes may also meet on weekdays from 18:00 – 21:00 hr. Applicants in this flexible program must have more than 1 year work experience and choose Plan B (Special Project).
Flexible Program Curriculum Overview
Term 1
(August-November)
Term 2
(December-March)
Term 3
(April-July)
YEAR 1 3 Core Courses 2 Core Courses 1 Core Course +
 2 Electives Courses
Term 4
(August-November)
Term 5
(December-March)
Term 6
(April-July)
YEAR 2 2 Electives Courses+ Comprehensive Exam 2 Elective Courses +SP(l) 1 Elective Course +SP(ll)

Course List

Code
Course Title
Credtis
2604639
Finance Theory
3
Financial theories related to investment and consumption decisions under certainty and uncertainty; risk preferences; application of expected utility theory in investment analysis; perfect asset markets; complete asset markets; portfolio theories; asset pricing theories; analysis of key corporate finance issues; capital structure; dividend policy; ownership structure; asymmetric information
2604643
Derivatives and Risk Management
3
Derivative markets; options and trading strategies; option pricing models; option price sensitivities; futures and trading strategies; swaps; forward rate agreements; interest rate options; value at risk (VaR) approaches; real options.
2604647
Financial Statement Analysis
3
Techniques for financial statement analysis and their interpretation for decision making; uses of financial statement information in practices; demand and supply of financial statement information; quality of financial statement information; credit analysis; security analysis; risk analysis; corporate valuation.
2604674
Financial Econometrics
3
Statistical techniques and econometrics for financial research; linear regression analysis; hypothesis testing; large sample statistical theory; relaxing assumptions of classical linear regression models; univariate time series analysis
2604680
Ethics in Finance
1
Code of ethics; standards of professional conduct; ethics in the investment profession.
2604697
Financial Markets, Institutions, and Instruments
3
Roles of financial markets; structure of financial markets: money and capital markets; primary and secondary markets;
types and roles of various financial institutions in intermediation process; determination of interest rates; roles of regulators;
central banks; commercial banks; money supply process; debt markets; equity markets; foreign exchange markets;
financial instruments; efficient market hypothesis; financial markets in international context.
2604663
Corporate Finance
2
"Initial public offerings; seasoned equity offerings; rights offerings; private placement of equity; debt offerings; convertible debt; venture capital financing; mergers and acquisitions; corporate diversification; securities market regulations and corporate governance; event-study methodology.

Condition: Prerequisite 2604631 and 2604632"
2604668
Corporate Governance and Compliance
2
Corporate governance; compliance and other related issues; strategic compliance management; integration of corporate governance, risk management and compliance.
2604696
Practical Corporate Financial Modeling
2
"Condition: Prerequisite (2604631 and 2604632) or 2604639
Financial planning and assessment of financing needs; cost of capital estimation and capital budgeting; discounted cash flow valuation model; weighted average cost of capital; adjusted present value model; corporate financial decisions and their impact on firm valuation"
2604664
Strategic Portfolio Management
2
Concepts, process and construction of investment portfolios; portfolio management strategies and diversification; portfolio performance evaluation; portfolio management for individual and institutional investors; asset allocation.
2604665
Portfolio Performance Evaluation and Attribution
2
Basic and advanced portfolio performance evaluation models; applications of performance evaluation and attribution techniques; measuring portfolio performance without knowledge of the proper model; measuring market timing; measuring hedge fund performance.
2604670
Equity Analysis and Valuation
2
Market efficiency and valuation; discounted cash flow valuation; relative valuation; residual income valuation and economic value added; option application for stock valuation; technical analysis.
2604669
Selected Topics in Risk Management
2
"Advanced tools of financial risk management; credit derivatives; credit risk modeling; credit scoring; option-based models; credit migration models; reduced form models; applications of risk management for financial institutions; developments and current issues in risk management.

Condition: Prerequisite 2604643"
2604687
Financial Programming
2
Introduction to programming; data manipulation techniques; software project management; spreadsheet application.
2604695
Financial Risk Management for Pension Plans
2
"Condition: Prerequisite 2604631 or 2604639
Fundamentals of pension plans; pension plan valuation concepts; pension funding concepts; solvency concepts; asset and liabilities management of pension funds; optimal asset allocation and risk management for pension plans; capital requirements and economic capital."
2604662
Alternatives and Innovations in Investment
2
Alternative investment strategies: hedge funds, real estate, and private equity; risk-return characteristics of various alternative investments; use of alternative investments to enhance portfolio risk-return trade offs.
2604666
Foundation of Behavioral Finance
2
Theoretical foundations of behavioral finance; overconfidence; representative heuristic; attribution theory; anchoring; prospect theory; limits to arbitrage; market anomalies; corporate behavior.
2604667
Market Microstructure
2
Market microstructure models; order types; order submission strategies; trader types; behavior of informed traders; probability of informed trading; price discovery; origins of liquidity and volatility; transaction cost measurement.
2604678
Macro Issues in Finance
2
Financial system and institutions; aggregate demand and supply; money creation; roles of expectation on markets and policy; monetary and fiscal policies; economic indicators.
2604688
Financial Engineering
2
Financial modeling; portfolio optimization; exotic derivatives; structured products; simulation and numerical methods for derivative valuation; financial innovation; cases in financial engineering.
2604690
Fixed Income Securities
2
Fixed income securities and markets; bond valuation; risk measurement of bonds; term structure of interest rate; yield curve fitting; bond portfolio management; interest rate derivatives.
2604692
Special Topics in Finance
2
"Financial planning and assessment of financing needs; cost of capital estimation and capital budgeting; weighted average cost of capital model; adjusted present value model; corporate financial decisions and their impact on firm valuation"
2604694
Emerging Capital Markets
2
"Development of emerging capital markets; cross-border capital flows; governance and regulations; valuation challenge in emerging markets; risk analysis and assessment; issues in emerging equity and bond markets."
2604700
Fintech
2
Overview of FinTech business; WealthTech; robo advisory; algorithmic trading, blockchain technology; digital asset and cryptocurrency; decentralized finance (DeFi), crowdfunding; virtual banking; FinTech fundraising
2604699
Sustainable Finance and Governance
2
Sustainable finance concept; corporate governance; corporate social responsibility; environmental finance; ESG compliance; sustainability reporting; ESG integration; ESG risk management
"MSF is one of the top of mind for financial school in Thailand. Not only the theories I learned, but also practical cases which is very useful.
With proficient professors and interesting curriculum, a year spent in this program was a great opportunity for accelerating my career path in finance."
Chuleephan Patiyatyothin (FT19) Financial Consultant (Assistant Vice President), KKP Private Wealth Management

UNIVERSITY FACILITIES

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FACULTY FACILITIES

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As a world-class institution, Chulalongkorn Business School offers top-ranked Master of Science in Finance program. Our graduates are fully prepared to meet the challenges of rapidly changing financial markets. Thank you for your interest in joining our MSF Chula family!

Tentative Dates for 2024 Admission

Deadline for application submission of batch#1
26 January 2024
Interview of batch#1
6 February 2024
Deadline for application submission of batch#2
30 April 2024
Interview of batch#2
14 May 2024 (Full-Time)
15 May 2024 (Flexible)
Admission decision notification
23 May 2024
"The MSF program provided me with a strong theoretical foundation to better understand and analyze financial markets, products, and risks. It also sparked my desire to become a more well-rounded and proactive financial regulator, equipping me with the skillsets to pursue a second Master’s degree at Harvard University, work with FinTech startups, and think critically when balancing financial innovation with financial stability and consumer protection.”
Tunyathon Koonprasert (FX9) Senior Analyst, Bank of Thailand, and Project Manager, Alliance for Financial Inclusion